Data scientist, physicist, and fantasy football champion

Week 15 K Evaluation

In the second to last week my chosen kicker (Matt Prater) didn’t even crack the top 15. Sad, but since he still got 7 points not horrible. Kickers and Defenses aren’t why I’ve been losing. It’s everything else.

Let’s see how I did this week compared to FantasyPros top experts:

Model Summary:

Rank

Model.C

Model.D

FP.top.20

Actual.Rank

Actual.Score

1

Matt Bryant

Matt Bryant

Matt Bryant

Chris Boswell

19

2

Justin Tucker

Nick Novak

Justin Tucker

Graham Gano

15

3

Dustin Hopkins

Dustin Hopkins

Dan Bailey

Dan Bailey

15

4

Nick Novak

Dan Bailey

Stephen Hauschka

Nick Novak

14

5

Matt Prater

Stephen Gostkowski

Cairo Santos

Sebastian Janikowski

14

6

Chandler Catanzaro

Wil Lutz

Dustin Hopkins

Matt Bryant

14

7

Wil Lutz

Justin Tucker

Stephen Gostkowski

Adam Vinatieri

13

8

Kai Forbath

Chris Boswell

Sebastian Janikowski

Caleb Sturgis

13

9

Stephen Gostkowski

Brandon McManus

Matt Prater

Wil Lutz

13

10

Brandon McManus

Steven Hauschka

Adam Vinatieri

Mason Crosby

13

11

Phil Dawson

Adam Vinatieri

Mason Crosby

Justin Tucker

12

12

Sebastian Janikowski

Cairo Santos

Brandon McManus

Jason Myers

11

13

Adam Vinatieri

Mason Crosby

Josh Lambo

Stephen Gostkowski

11

14

Nick Folk

Sebastian Janikowski

Chandler Catanzaro

Ryan Succop

10

15

Cairo Santos

Chandler Catanzaro

Will Lutz

Dustin Hopkins

10

Model.C

Model.D

FP.top.20

43

41

36

This week FantasyPros actualy beat me, albeit by a statistically insignificant amount. I’m really not enthused with any of my kicker models and I look forward to a change in the offseason to refine my models. For this upcoming week I’ll stick with my Sturgis/Prater model (i.e., “Consistency Above All”).

Week 16 K Predictions

Week 16 DEF Predictions