Data scientist, physicist, and fantasy football champion

Week 5 QB Results

By Friday Morning I knew all of my models were shot. Brady and Winston were in the top 3 for all of my models and did very little on Thursday night. As usual (for 2017), the top of the list this week included such big names as Alex Smith, Deshaun Watson, carson Wentz, and Brian Hoyer. Kevin Hogan ended up in the middle of the pack despite taking over for DeShone Kizer in the 2nd quarter. Granted it was against the Jets, but still an impressive performance.

Let’s see how each model did last week:

.accuracy graph-1.png
Modelestimatestd.error
ModelA0NA
ModelB-19.540444448.515818233
ModelC-15.124444448.515818233
ModelD-21.816444448.515818233
ModelE-22.696444448.515818233
ModelF-19.052444448.515818233
ModelG-19.1595238110.57765117
ModelH-16.9095238110.57765117
ModelI-22.2373015913.57961209
ModelJ5.94269841313.57961209
ModelYahoo-9.1364444448.515818233


If we look at that table again after this week it’s looking like none of my models are distinguishing themselves (in a good way). Models J and A are pretty obviously the worst, but B, D, E, F, G, and I are all about the same. I like Models I and E , so I might look at them next week. I really need models that can weight this year’s performances higher to really push Wentz, Smith, and Watson higher in my weekly rankings.

Week 6 K Predictions

Week 5 DEF Results